Philadelphia Eagles 9-0
Tonight the Washington Commanders get a chance at redemption against the Philadelphia Eagles in their week 10 MNF matchup. These two teams faced off in Washington in week 3 where the Commanders suffered a 24-8 loss.
This is the Eagles game to lose. In the last matchup the Eagles recorded 9 sacks, 2 forced fumbles, and one recovered fumble, completely shutting down Carson Wentz.
FanDuel Moneyline Odds Analysis
Favorite: Philadelphia Eagles
The Philadelphia Eagles are the moneyline favorite @ -560, this translates to a 84% implied winning probability. Our simulation which uses margin of victory as its metric indicates a 82% implied winning probability.
Underdog: Washington Commanders
The Washington Commanders are the underdog @ +420, this translates to a 19% implied winning probability. Our simulation indicates that the Commanders have a 18% implied winning probability.
FanDuel Spread Odds Analysis:
Favorite: Philadelphia Eagles -11.5:
The current spread sits at -11.5 @ -105, these odds reflect a 51% chance that the Philadelphia Eagles win by at least 12 points. Our model indicates a higher probability at 57%
Underdog: Washington Commanders +11.5:
The underdog spread sits at +11.5 @ -115, these odds reflect a 53% chance that Washington losses by less than 12 points, our model indicates a much lower probability of 43%
My Pick: Alternate Spread -13.5
Our model indicates that the Philadelphia Eagles win this game by 14 points with a implied probability of 52%, @ +110 odds the books think there is only a 47% chance. Our model also indicates that given the Eagles win the game they should win by more than 13.5 points 63% of the time.