Best Value NBA Picks
1) Denver Nuggets ML @ -108
Yesterday took a turn for the worse as we went 0-4 bringing this weeks picks to 5-5. Lets hope we can get back on track with todays NBA picks. Starting off with the Denver Nuggets ML @ -108. Nuggets face off against the Portland Trailblazers after a heartbreaking 115-116 loss against the Dallas Mavericks. Tim Hardaway was unreal from the three going 6/8. The Mavericks as a whole were just not missing. Nuggets will seek to dish some pain against the Traiblazers after that loss, that’s for sure.
2) Houston Rockets ML @ -132
Due to the small 3 game slate this will be the only other pick for todays NBA picks. The second pick will be the Houston Rockets ML @ -132 vs the San Antonio Spurs. Houston is rejoicing a double overtime 132-123 win against the full starting Philadelphia offense. I think momentum will play a huge role it tonight’s matchup. Houston was able to integrate their entire roster against Philly with none of their players scoring over 30 points. Team basketball wins games and I think the Rockets have what it takes tonight.
Odds Analysis
Denver Nuggets ML @ -108
At -108 Fanduel has the Denver Nuggets predicted to win 52% of the time. Our model indicates the Nuggets actually have a 54% predicted win rate. In this scenario with a -0.5 spread there is no reason to not just take the money-line.
Houston Rockets ML @ -132
With -132 odds Fanduel gives the Houston Rockets a 57% chance of winning, our model indicates that the Rockets actually have a 63% chance of winning. The spread in our model also has the Rockets at -4 whilst Fanduel has them at -2.5.